12:00 TUESDAY – Bi-Weekly Market Report #246 – 9/17/24

by Robert Holman, CFA CFP | www.DefensiveAdvisor.com

STOCK MARKET RATING (THE BIG PICTURE) … 5.0 (1 - 4 is bearish, 5 is neutral, 6 - 9 is bullish). It is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates tomorrow. Since August 5th (a Monday in which the market declined 1034 points due to low job growth) overall the market has performed strongly as the market has been anticipating the rate cuts. 

My outlook is cautious at 5.0, yet I am nearly fully invested.  In my view, the big picture is still neutral, but I believe volatility gets better once rate cuts begin. The elections are still the big unknown.  I stand ready to make portfolio changes should that not be the case. Staying vigilant in these uncertain times is paramount.

THESE ARTICLES MAY BE OF INTEREST:  (press ctrl and click mouse simultaneously)

This chart shows how the stock market has performed from Labor Day to year-end (msn.com)  

Note: 70% is considerably outside the norm.

Mark Cuban says Kamala Harris will kill the U.S. stock market (msn.com) if she proposes legislation that taxes unrealized capital gains on wealthy investors

Get ready for a massive stock market rally, if history is any guide (msn.com)

45% of Americans Who Retire at This Age Will Likely Run Out of Money | Watch (msn.com)

https://youtu.be/Jq_ElePa8MM - advanced article, why Trump wants to eliminate taxes on Social Security (its because it helps the average middle-class American tremendously)

Warren Buffett's $5.4 Billion Warning to Wall Street Foreshadows Trouble to Come (msn.com)

JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon warns US economy faces an outcome worse than a recession (msn.com) – discusses the detrimental effects of stagflation

PORTFOLIOS … After reading this report, if you are unsure how to respond to these conditions, you may send a message to my Secure Email and I’ll reply with the information you need.

TO MY CLIENTS … THANK YOU FOR YOUR TRUST.

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Learn from the Bible: Proverbs 15:22 MSG - Refuse good advice and watch your plans fail; take good counsel and watch them succeed.

This report is a 2-3 minute read, published every other Tuesday afternoon. To sign up for this bi-weekly e-Newsletter, go to: Newsletter Signup.

Opinions in this post are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice to, or recommendations for, any individual without our complete knowledge of that individual’s total financial profile. No strategy assures success or protects against loss.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.